{"id": "1214029773286014983", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-09-28T03:00:00Z", "msg": "581\nWTPZ32 KNHC 280234\nTCPEP2\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Polo Advisory Number  30\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172026\n800 PM MST Sun Sep 27 2026\n \n...POLO HEADED TOWARD THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...\n...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DETERIORATE MONDAY MORNING...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 800 PM MST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...22.8N 114.0W\nABOUT 260 MI...420 KM W OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO\nABOUT 175 MI...280 KM SW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 355 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...951 MB...28.09 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* West coast of Baja California Sur, from Punta Abreojos to Santa Fe\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, from Loreto to Santa Rosalia\n* Mainland Mexico from Guaymas to Huatabampito\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* West coast of Baja California Sur, north of Punta Abreojos to\nPunta Eugenia\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, south of Loreto to San\nEvaristo\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, north of Santa Rosalia to\nBahia San Juan Bautista\n* Mainland Mexico north of Guaymas to Bahia Kino\n* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* West coast of Baja California Sur, north of Punta Abreojos to\nPunta Eugenia.\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, north of Santa Rosalia to\nBahia San Juan Bautista\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, south of Loreto to San\nEvaristo.\n* Mainland Mexico north of Guaymas to Bahia Kino\n* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected \nsomewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued 36 \nhours before the anticipated first occurrence of \ntropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside \npreparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life \nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area, in this case within the next 36 hours.\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area, generally within 36\nhours.\n \nInterests in the remainder of Baja California Sur, and the remainder\nof Sonora and northern Sinaloa should monitor the progress of Polo.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 800 PM MST (0300 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Polo was located \nnear latitude 22.8 North, longitude 114.0 West. Polo is moving \ntoward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h). This motion should continue \nfor the next several hours followed by a turn toward the northeast \non Monday. On the forecast track, Polo is expected to approach the \nwest coast of Baja California Sur on Monday, move across the \npeninsula Monday night and then approach northwestern mainland \nMexico by early Tuesday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds remain near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher\ngusts. Polo is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson\nHurricane Wind Scale. Polo is forecast to be at or near major\nhurricane strength when it reaches Baja California Sur on Monday,\nand it is expected to be a hurricane when it makes landfall in\nmainland Mexico early Tuesday.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles\n(165 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 951 mb (28.09 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.\n \nWIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area\nalong the west coast of Baja California Sur by late Monday\nafternoon, with tropical storm conditions beginning in the southern\nportion of the warning area Monday morning. These conditions are\nexpected to spread northward and eastward across Baja California Sur\non Monday. Hurricane conditions are expected within the Hurricane\nWarning area and possible in the watch area in mainland\nnorthwestern Mexico late Monday night through early Tuesday with \ntropical storm conditions expected to begin Monday night.\n \nRAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8\ninches with maximum amounts of 12 inches across portions of Baja\nCalifornia Sur. Rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches with maximum totals\nof 8 expected across portions of Sonora. This rainfall may produce\nlife-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of\nsteep terrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf\n \nSURGE: A storm surge could produce significant coastal flooding in\nareas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be\naccompanied by large and destructive waves.\n \nSURF: Swells generated by Polo will continue affecting the coast of\nsouthwestern Mexico, west-central Mexico, and Baja California Sur\nduring the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause\nlife-threatening surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding. Please\nconsult products from your local weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 1100 PM MST.\nNext complete advisory at 200 AM MST.\n \n"}