{"id": "1213925944044716039", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-09-27T18:00:00Z", "msg": "395\nWTPZ32 KNHC 271746\nTCPEP2\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Polo Intermediate Advisory Number 28A\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172026\n1100 AM MST Sun Sep 27 2026\n \n...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS INVESTIGATING POLO...\n...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO\nCOMPLETION TODAY IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AS POWERFUL POLO \nAPPROACHES...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 1100 AM MST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION\n-----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...21.3N 114.0W\nABOUT 285 MI...460 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO\nABOUT 265 MI...425 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.06 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* West coast of Baja California Sur, from Punta Abreojos to Santa Fe\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, from Loreto to Santa Rosalia\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* West coast of Baja California Sur, north of Punta Abreojos to\nPunta Eugenia\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, south of Loreto to San\nEvaristo\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, north of Santa Rosalia to\nBahia San Juan Bautista\n* Mainland Mexico from Huatabampito to Bahia Kino\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* West coast of Baja California Sur, north of Punta Abreojos to\nPunta Eugenia.\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, north of Santa Rosalia to\nBahia San Juan Bautista\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, south of Loreto to San\nEvaristo.\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...\n* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued\n36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of\ntropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside\npreparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before\nthe anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,\nconditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area, generally within 36\nhours.\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.\n \nInterests in the remainder of Baja California Sur, and the remainder\nof Sonora and northern Sinaloa should monitor the progress of Polo.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 1100 AM MST (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Polo was located by \nNOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 21.3 North, longitude \n114.0 West. Polo is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph \n(19 km/h). A turn toward the north is expected later today, followed \nby a turn toward the northeast on Monday. On the forecast track, \nPolo is expected to approach the west coast of Baja California Sur \non Monday, move across the peninsula Monday night and then approach \nnorthwestern mainland Mexico by early Tuesday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher \ngusts. Polo is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson \nHurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength are possible over the \nnext day or two, but Polo is forecast to remain a strong hurricane \nwhen it reaches Baja California Sur on Monday.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from\nthe center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105\nmiles (165 km).\n \nThe minimum central pressure estimated by dropsonde data is 950 mb \n(28.06 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.\n \nWIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area \nalong the west coast of Baja California Sur by Monday afternoon, \nwith tropical storm conditions possible in the southern portion of \nthe warning area by tonight into early Monday. These conditions are \nexpected to spread northward and eastward across Baja California Sur \non Monday. Hurricane conditions are possible within the Hurricane \nWatch area in mainland northwestern Mexico Monday night and Tuesday.\n \nRAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8\ninches with maximum amounts of 12 inches across portions of Baja\nCalifornia Sur. Rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches with maximum totals\nof 8 expected across portions of Sonora.  This rainfall may produce\nlife-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of\nsteep terrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf\n \nSURGE: A storm surge could produce significant coastal flooding in\nareas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be\naccompanied by large and destructive waves.\n \nSURF: Swells generated by Polo will continue affecting the coast of\nsouthwestern Mexico, west-central Mexico, and Baja California Sur\nduring the next couple of days. These swells will spread northward\nalong the coast of the Baja California Peninsula through the\nremainder of the weekend. These swells are likely to cause\nlife-threatening surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding. Please\nconsult products from your local weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext complete advisory at 200 PM MST.\n \n"}