{"id": "1213892422790479879", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-09-27T15:00:00Z", "msg": "146\nWTPZ32 KNHC 271456\nTCPEP2\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Polo Advisory Number  28\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172026\n800 AM MST Sun Sep 27 2026\n \n...POLO A LITTLE STRONGER AS IT TURNS NORTHWARD...\n...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO\nCOMPLETION IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AS POWERFUL POLO APPROACHES...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 800 AM MST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...21.3N 113.9W\nABOUT 280 MI...450 KM WSW OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO\nABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH...205 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...949 MB...28.03 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Hurricane Warning is in effect for...\n* West coast of Baja California Sur, from Punta Abreojos to Santa Fe\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, from Loreto to Santa Rosalia\n \nA Hurricane Watch is in effect for...\n* West coast of Baja California Sur, north of Punta Abreojos to\nPunta Eugenia\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, south of Loreto to San\nEvaristo\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, north of Santa Rosalia to\nBahia San Juan Bautista\n* Mainland Mexico from Huatabampito to Bahia Kino\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* West coast of Baja California Sur, north of Punta Abreojos to\nPunta Eugenia.\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, north of Santa Rosalia to\nBahia San Juan Bautista\n* East coast of Baja California Sur, south of Loreto to San\nEvaristo.\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...\n* Mainland Mexico south of Huatabampito to Topolobampo\n \nA Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected\nsomewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued\n36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of\ntropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside\npreparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life\nand property should be rushed to completion.\n \nA Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible\nwithin the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before\nthe anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,\nconditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area, generally within 36\nhours.\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.\n \nInterests in the remainder of Baja California Sur, and the remainder\nof Sonora and northern Sinaloa should monitor the progress of Polo.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 800 AM MST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located\nnear latitude 21.3 North, longitude 113.9 West. Polo is moving\ntoward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the\nnorth is expected later today, followed by a turn toward the\nnortheast on Monday. On the forecast track, Polo is expected to\napproach the west coast of Baja California Sur on Monday, move\nacross the peninsula Monday night and then approach northwestern\nmainland Mexico by early Tuesday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds have increased to near 125 mph (205 km/h)\nwith higher gusts. Polo is a category 3 hurricane on the\nSaffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength are\npossible over the next day or two, but Polo is forecast to remain a\nstrong hurricane when it reaches Baja California Sur on Monday.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles\n(165 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 949 mb (28.03 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.\n \nWIND: Hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area\nalong the west coast of Baja California Sur by Monday afternoon,\nwith tropical storm conditions possible in the southern portion of\nthe warning area by tonight into early Monday. These conditions\nare expected to spread northward during the day on Monday and then\neastward across Baja California Sur by Monday evening. Hurricane\nconditions are possible within the Hurricane Watch area in mainland\nnorthwestern Mexico on Tuesday.\n \nRAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8\ninches with maximum amounts of 12 inches across portions of Baja\nCalifornia Sur. Rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches with maximum totals\nof 8 expected across portions of Sonora.  This rainfall may produce\nlife-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of\nsteep terrain.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf\n \nSURGE: A storm surge could produce significant coastal flooding in\nareas of onshore winds. Near the coast, the surge will be\naccompanied by large and destructive waves.\n \nSURF: Swells generated by Polo will continue affecting the coast of\nsouthwestern Mexico, west-central Mexico, and Baja California Sur\nduring the next couple of days. These swells will spread northward\nalong the coast of the Baja California Peninsula through the\nremainder of the weekend. These swells are likely to cause\nlife-threatening surf, rip currents, and coastal flooding. Please\nconsult products from your local weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 1100 AM MST.\nNext complete advisory at 200 PM MST.\n \n"}