{"id": "1213039769890258951", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-09-24T15:00:00Z", "msg": "441\nWTPZ32 KNHC 241439\nTCPEP2\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Polo Advisory Number  16\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172026\n900 AM CST Thu Sep 24 2026\n \n...POLO STARTING TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN\nMEXICO...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...16.8N 104.4W\nABOUT 195 MI...315 KM WSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO\nABOUT 150 MI...245 KM S OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...928 MB...27.41 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...\n* Tecpan de Galeana to Manzanillo\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...\n* West of Manzanillo to Playa Perula\n \nA Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are\nexpected somewhere within the warning area.\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the watch area, in this case within 12 hours.\n \nInterests elsewhere along the coast of southwestern Mexico and Baja\nCalifornia Sur should monitor the progress of this system.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located\nnear latitude 16.8 North, longitude 104.4 West. Polo is moving\ntoward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the \nwest is expected later today and Friday, followed by a west- \nnorthwestward motion on Saturday. On the forecast track, the core of \nPolo is expected to move away from the coast of southwestern Mexico \ntoday.\n \nMaximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher\ngusts.  Polo is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson\nHurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in strength are possible\nduring the next couple of days.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles\n(205 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 928 mb (27.41 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.\n \nWIND: Tropical storm conditions are occurring along the coast of\nMexico in the warning area and should continue for a few more\nhours. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area\nalong the coast of Mexico during the next several hours.\n \nRAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce additional rainfall totals of\n2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 6 inches across\ncoastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacan, Colima,\nnorthern and southern Jalisco, and Nayarit. This rainfall may\nproduce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas\nof steep terrain. Additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches is possible\nin coastal portions of the Mexican states of central Jalisco and\nGuerrero.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic\navailable at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf\n \nSURF: Swells generated by Polo will affect portions of the coast of\nsouthwestern Mexico during the next couple of days. Swells will\nspread northward along the coast of west-central Mexico and toward\nBaja California Sur on Friday and into the weekend. These swells are\nlikely to cause life-threatening surf, rip currents, and coastal\nflooding. Please consult products from your local weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 1200 PM CST.\nNext complete advisory at 300 PM CST.\n \n"}