{"id": "1212263335724711943", "title": "Public Tropical Cyclone Advisory", "adv_date": "2026-09-21T21:00:00Z", "msg": "086\nWTPZ32 KNHC 212050\nTCPEP2\n \nBULLETIN\nHurricane Polo Advisory Number   5\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP172026\n300 PM CST Mon Sep 21 2026\n \n...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT SHOWS POLO RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING...\n \n \nSUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION\n----------------------------------------------\nLOCATION...15.1N 102.7W\nABOUT 290 MI...465 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO\nABOUT 195 MI...310 KM SSW OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO\nMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H\nPRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 110 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H\nMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.77 INCHES\n \n \nWATCHES AND WARNINGS\n--------------------\nCHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:\n \nNone.\n \nSUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...\n* Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo\n \nA Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are\npossible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.\n \nThe Tropical Storm Watch will likely be expanded westward later\ntoday or tonight.\n \nFor storm information specific to your area, please monitor\nproducts issued by your national meteorological service.\n \n \nDISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK\n----------------------\nAt 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located \nby a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft near latitude 15.1 North, \nlongitude 102.7 West. Polo is moving toward the east-southeast near \n6 mph (9 km/h).  This general motion is expected tonight, with a \nsharp turn towards the northwest and west-northwest anticipated \nlate Tuesday into Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the core is \nPolo is expected to be near or south of the coast of southwestern \nMexico during the next few days.\n \nMaximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h) \nwith higher gusts.  Polo is expected to continue rapidly \nintensifying, becoming a major hurricane by Tuesday, with further \nintensification likely though midweek.\n \nHurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the\ncenter and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles\n(110 km).\n \nThe estimated minimum central pressure is 974 mb (28.77 inches).\n \n \nHAZARDS AFFECTING LAND\n----------------------\nKey messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone\nDiscussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC.\n \nWIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch\narea by Tuesday night or early Wednesday.\n \nRAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 4 to 8 \ninches, with isolated maximum totals up to 12 inches across coastal \nportions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoac\u00e1n through \nThursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and \nmudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall of 3 to 6 \ninches is possible in coastal portions of Oaxaca, Colima, and \nJalisco through Thursday.\n \nFor a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo,\nplease see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall\nGraphic available at\nhurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf\n \nSURF:  Swells generated by Polo are expected to begin affecting\nportions of the coast of southwestern Mexico on Tuesday. These\nswells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current\nconditions.  Please consult products from your local weather office.\n \n \nNEXT ADVISORY\n-------------\nNext intermediate advisory at 600 PM CST.\nNext complete advisory at 900 PM CST.\n \n"}