{"id": "1204262676103102466", "title": "Tropical Cyclone Discussion", "adv_date": "2026-08-24T15:00:00Z", "msg": "711\nWTPA43 PHFO 241436\nTCDCP3\n \nTropical Depression Moke Discussion Number  17\nNWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   CP022026\nIssued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n500 AM HST Mon Aug 24 2026\n\nMoke continues to be in a disorganized state, with only sporadic \nbursts of convection in the northern semicircle.  A recent OSCAT \npass showed maximum winds of about 30 kt in a small area on the \nnorthern side of the circulation, so the initial intensity will \nremain 30 kt on this advisory.  The scatterometer pass also showed \nthat the circulation was losing definition and becoming somewhat \nelongated.  Given this structure and the persistent shear plus \ndry environment, Moke is not likely to hold onto tropical-cyclone \nstatus for much longer.  Thus the new forecast shows that Moke will \ndissipate later today, which is consistent with the latest model \nguidance.  \n\nThe depression continues moving slightly north of due west at about \n12 kt.  A strong low- to mid-level ridge should hold firm north of \nMoke until the cyclone dissipates.  The new forecast is similar to \nthe last forecast and is on the southern side of the guidance.   \nEven though Moke is well south of the Hawaiian Islands, periods of \nheavy rain causing flash flooding are possible across portions of \nthe Big Island today.\n \nKey Messages:\n \n1. Rain bands associated with Tropical Depression Moke will continue \nover the Hawaiian Islands through Monday. This rainfall may produce \nareas of flash flooding for the windward and southeast Big Island, \nespecially in steep terrain and over areas that were affected \nrecently by Lala. Flood prone and low lying locations, as well as \nurban areas, may also see instances of flash flooding.\n \n \nFORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS\n \nINIT  24/1500Z 15.5N 160.2W   30 KT  35 MPH\n 12H  25/0000Z 15.8N 162.1W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 24H  25/1200Z 16.3N 164.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 36H  26/0000Z...DISSIPATED\n \n"}