{"id": "1204262571363074050", "title": "Tropical Cyclone Discussion", "adv_date": "2026-08-24T15:00:00Z", "msg": "704\nWTPA42 PHFO 241436\nTCDCP2\n \nTropical Storm Lala Discussion Number  49\nNWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   CP012026\nIssued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL\n500 AM HST Mon Aug 24 2026\n \nLala has remained steady state with a curved band that wraps about\nthree-quarters of the way around the center. Convection persists\neven as the storm traverses cooler sea surface temperatures.\nSatellite intensity estimates from HFO, JTWC, and UW-CIMSS range\nfrom 45 to 62 kt. Scatterometer data that arrived shortly after the\nprevious advisory shows a peak wind of 44 kt, and was used to adjust\nthe wind radii on the western side of the system. Given the\nsteady-state satellite appearance and a blend of the estimates and\nscatterometer data, the initial intensity is held at 55 kt.\n \nThe storm is moving slowly northwestward (320/4 kt). A slow and \ngenerally northwestward motion is expected to continue for the next \nseveral days while the system is steered by a ridge to the \nnortheast. The latest NHC forecast track shows Lala crossing the \nInternational Date Line just beyond 72 h. The official track \nforecast was nudged slightly to the left in the short term and lies \nclose to the latest HCCA consensus aid.\n \nLala has continued to produce convection over cool sea surface\ntemperatures within a low wind shear environment. As SSTs decrease\nfurther along the forecast track, the cyclone will increasingly\nstruggle to sustain this convective activity. Thus, a slow weakening\ntrend is forecast to continue during the next few days. The official\nintensity forecast lies near the middle of the guidance envelope and\nis similar to the previous prediction. Simulated infrared satellite\nimagery from the global models suggests Lala will fail to maintain\norganized deep convection between days 3 and 4, and the system is\nforecast to become a post-tropical cyclone by 96 h.\n \n \nFORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS\n \nINIT  24/1500Z 33.4N 175.3W   55 KT  65 MPH\n 12H  25/0000Z 33.9N 175.8W   50 KT  60 MPH\n 24H  25/1200Z 34.6N 176.8W   50 KT  60 MPH\n 36H  26/0000Z 35.0N 177.8W   45 KT  50 MPH\n 48H  26/1200Z 35.6N 178.6W   45 KT  50 MPH\n 60H  27/0000Z 36.3N 179.2W   40 KT  45 MPH\n 72H  27/1200Z 37.2N 179.7W   35 KT  40 MPH\n 96H  28/1200Z 38.9N 179.0E   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n120H  29/1200Z 41.4N 176.1E   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n \n"}