{"id": "1201644012816793607", "title": "Tropical Cyclone Discussion", "adv_date": "2026-08-15T09:00:00Z", "msg": "720\nWTPZ43 KNHC 150837\nTCDEP3\n \nTropical Depression Hernan Discussion Number  10\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP082026\n1100 PM HST Fri Aug 14 2026\n\nHernan is currently a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds with no \nactive convection. A recent ASCAT overpass showed winds of 25-27 kt \nin the northwestern quadrant, and based on this and the possibility \nof undersampling the initial intensity is held at a possibly \ngenerous 30 kt. Unless convection makes a significant re-appearance, \nthe cyclone is expected to degenerate to a remnant low within the \nnext 12 h. The new forecast calls for the remnant low to decay to a \ntrough by 72 h in agreement with the global models.\n\nThe initial motion is 275/11 kt. A low- to mid-level ridge to the \nnorth should steer Hernan and its remnants westward for the next \nfew days. The new forecast track is similar to, but a little faster \nthan, the previous track.\n \n \nFORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS\n \nINIT  15/0900Z 16.4N 133.8W   30 KT  35 MPH\n 12H  15/1800Z 16.5N 135.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 24H  16/0600Z 16.6N 137.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 36H  16/1800Z 16.7N 139.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 48H  17/0600Z 16.8N 141.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 60H  17/1800Z 16.8N 143.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 72H  18/0600Z...DISSIPATED\n \n"}