{"id": "1201079856771596295", "title": "Tropical Cyclone Discussion", "adv_date": "2026-08-13T09:00:00Z", "msg": "391\nWTNT43 KNHC 130847\nTCDAT3\n \nTropical Depression Cristobal Discussion Number   4\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL032026\n900 AM GMT Thu Aug 13 2026\n \nRecent OSCAT data showed that Cristobal has weaken to a tropical\ndepression with max winds around 30 kt. The cyclone continues to\nhave a lack of deep convection based on satellite images. The most\ncurrent TAFB intensity estimates with a Final T number of 1.5 and\nmaximum winds of 30 kt. As a result, the initial intensity has\nbeen brought down to 30 kt for this advisory.\n \nBased on the increasingly harsh environmental conditions that the \nstorm is entering as well as the latest model guidance, Cristobal is \nexpected to continue weakening, and it is unlikely that convection \nwill make a comeback.  Thus, the NHC forecast now calls for \nCristobal to become a remnant low within the next 12 h, with \ndissipation following soon after. \n \nThe current motion estimate is east-northeastward, or 075/14 kt.\nThe cyclone is expected to turn a bit more northeastward over the\nnext 12 h, and barely any changes have been made to the previous NHC\ntrack prediction.\n \n \nFORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS\n \nINIT  13/0900Z 38.6N  38.2W   30 KT  35 MPH\n 12H  13/1800Z 40.1N  36.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 24H  14/0600Z...DISSIPATED\n \n"}