{"id": "1195273960383971334", "title": "Tropical Cyclone Discussion", "adv_date": "2026-07-23T21:00:00Z", "msg": "055\nWTNT42 KNHC 232037\nTCDAT2\n \nTropical Storm Bertha Discussion Number  18\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022026\n400 PM CDT Thu Jul 23 2026\n\nBertha has been moving along the northern Gulf coast much of the\nday, and it now appears to be inland over far eastern Texas.  The\nstorm remains very asymmetric, with nearly all of the deep\nconvection over the southwest quadrant, which is now moving inland\nover Texas.  An ASCAT-C pass from a few hours ago suggest that the\nmaximum winds have decreased.  Based on that data, surface\nobservations, and its degraded appearance in satellite images, the\ninitial wind speed is lowered to 35 kt.\n \nThe poor organization of Bertha makes it hard to compute its\ninitial motion.  In fact, the storm is becoming increasingly\nelongated and might be opening up into a trough. Our best guess of\nthe initial motion is west-northwestward at 11 kt.  However. the\nglobal models suggest that the center could reform again to the\nsouth during the next few hours.  Regardless, Bertha is expected to\nmove across eastern Texas this evening, and it forecast to\ndissipate tonight or on Friday.\n \n \nKey Messages:\n \n1. Tropical storm conditions are forecast in portions of the\nwarning area in Texas and Louisiana through the evening.\n \n2. Isolated flash flooding remains possible along the Texas Gulf\nCoast and South Texas into tonight.\n \n3. Coastal flooding along the northern Gulf coast is expected to\ngradually subside.\n \n \nFORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS\n \nINIT  23/2100Z 29.8N  94.7W   35 KT  40 MPH\n 12H  24/0600Z 29.7N  97.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND\n 24H  24/1800Z...DISSIPATED\n \n"}