{"id": "1189398262525231106", "title": "Tropical Cyclone Discussion", "adv_date": "2026-07-03T03:00:00Z", "msg": "813\nWTPZ44 KNHC 030232\nTCDEP4\n \nTropical Storm Douglas Discussion Number   8\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP042026\n800 PM PDT Thu Jul 02 2026\n \nConvection associated with Douglas is fading as the cyclone \nencounters cooler waters.  It also appears like the low- and \nmid-level centers are also becoming misaligned due to increasing \nshear.  While satellite intensity estimates still support keeping \nDouglas a tropical storm, it is likely to weaken overnight due to \nits passage over cooler waters into a less conducive environment.  \nAll guidance show a gradual decrease in winds, and so does the \nofficial forecast.  Douglas should transition into a \ndeep-convection-free remnant low early tomorrow, as shown by the \nglobal models and the latest NHC forecast. \n \nThe initial motion remains north-northwestward, and this \napproximate track should continue overnight with a gradual leftward \nbend on Friday as the weakening cyclone is steered more by the \nlow-level flow.  Models are in general agreement on this evolution, \nthough the Google DeepMind tracker lies a fair distance northeast \nof most of the rest of the guidance.  The new NHC forecast track is \nclose to the previous one, but adjusted a little to the right out \nof deference for the Google DeepMind solution.\n\n \n \nFORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS\n \nINIT  03/0300Z 18.8N 127.6W   35 KT  40 MPH\n 12H  03/1200Z 19.7N 127.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 24H  04/0000Z 20.7N 128.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 36H  04/1200Z 21.7N 129.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 48H  05/0000Z 22.5N 130.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 60H  05/1200Z 23.4N 131.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 72H  06/0000Z...DISSIPATED\n \n"}