{"id": "1182181698404417538", "title": "Tropical Cyclone Discussion", "adv_date": "2026-06-07T15:00:00Z", "msg": "121\nWTPZ41 KNHC 071446\nTCDEP1\n \nTropical Depression Amanda Discussion Number  20\nNWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP012026\n500 AM HST Sun Jun 07 2026\n \nAlthough Amanda's circulation once again became exposed to the \neast of the sheared cloud pattern overnight, deep convection has \nredeveloped over the surface center.  Recent METOP-A/B scatterometer\noverpasses indicated just a few 30 kt winds in the northwest \nquadrant, and the surface circulation has become a little less \ndefined.  The initial intensity is held at 30 kt for this advisory \nand agrees with TAFB's Dvorak satellite intensity estimate.\n \nAmanda is moving southwestward at 4 kt in the low-level flow \nthrough an increasingly dry/stable and sheared surrounding \nenvironment.  A turn toward the west-southwest is expected later \ntoday and Amanda should continue in this general motion through the \nperiod.  Although oceanic surface temperatures along Amanda's path \nare warm (27-28C), further weakening is expected due to the \ninhibiting environmental conditions.  The Global model Simulated/IR \nforecasts from both the GFS and ECMWF indicate that Amanda will lose \norganized convection soon, and the NHC forecast follows suit with \nthe cyclone degenerating into a post-tropical remnant low tonight.\n \n \nFORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS\n \nINIT  07/1500Z 11.5N 135.4W   30 KT  35 MPH\n 12H  08/0000Z 11.2N 136.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 24H  08/1200Z 10.9N 137.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 36H  09/0000Z 10.6N 137.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 48H  09/1200Z 10.2N 139.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 60H  10/0000Z  9.9N 140.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 72H  10/1200Z  9.7N 141.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW\n 96H  11/1200Z...DISSIPATED\n \n"}